Plard Floriane

Disentangling the spatial and temporal causes of decline in a bird population

Project Number: Parcs Data Center 43734 / 4D CH-7090

Project Type:	Research_Project
Project Duration:	01/01/2020 - 09/12/2020 project completed
Funding Source:	other ,
Leading Institution:	Vogelwarte Sempach
Project Leader:	Floriane Plard Swiss Ornithological Institute, Sempach 6204 Sempach e-Mail: floriane.plard(at)ens-lyon.fr

related to this project.

for which the project has a relevance.

Research Areas:

Biodiversity

Disciplines:

general biology

Abstract:
The difficulties in understanding the underlying reasons of a population decline lie in the typical short duration of field studies, the often too small size already reached by a declining population or the multitude of environmental factors that may influence population trend. In this difficult context, useful demographic tools such as integrated population models (IPM) may help disentangling the main reasons for a population decline. To understand why a hoopoe Upupa epops population has declined, we followed a three step model analysis. We built an IPM structured with respect to habitat quality (approximated by the expected availability of mole crickets, the main prey in our population) and estimated the contributions of habitat-specific demographic rates to population variation and decline. We quantified how much each demographic rate has decreased and investigated whether habitat quality influenced this decline. We tested how much weather conditions and research activities contributed to the decrease in the different demographic rates. The decline of the hoopoe population was mainly explained by a decrease in first-year apparent survival and a reduced number of fledglings produced, particularly in habitats of high quality. Since a majority of pairs bred in habitats of the highest quality, the decrease in the production of locally recruited yearlings in high-quality habitat was the main driver of the population decline despite a homogeneous drop of recruitment across habitats. Overall, the explanatory variables we tested only accounted for 19% of the decrease in the population growth rate. Among these variables, the effects of spring temperature (49% of the explained variance) contributed more to population decline than spring precipitation (36%) and research activities (maternal capture delay, 15%). This study shows the power of IPMs for identifying the vital rates involved in population declines and thus paves the way for targeted conservation and management actions.

Publications:
Plard F, Arlettaz R, Jacot A, Schaub M. Disentangling the spatial and temporal causes of decline in a bird population. Ecol Evol. 2020;10:6906–6918. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6244

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Last update: 4/5/22
Source of data: ProClim- Research InfoSystem (1993-2024)
Update the data of project: CH-7090

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